Analysis: A Potential Russia vs Ukraine Conflict May Boil Down to Who Has Better Artillery

A Russian 2S7 fires during a military exercise. Ukraine also operates the mammoth Soviet-era self-propelled howitzers, which have a 203 mm-diameter barrel, but the Russian army has modernized its arsenal with a sophisticated fire control system that allows them to fire more rapidly — and accurately — than the Ukrainian models.

The border between Russian and Ukraine has increased with troops, tanks and artillery on both sides of the border. If tensions escalate into an armed conflict; victory won’t depend entirely on troops or tanks.

Victory may be contingent upon who has the best use of artillery.

Ukraine has always struggled with maintaining an adequate supply of shells which could cost them in a conflict. Russia, on the other hand, may struggle with logistical issues transporting shells from railheads to the front lines.

The analysis conducted in the sources above do not include any kind of air capabilities or air operations that could occur between Russia or Ukraine, (i.e. air operations against artillery units or supplies). Air operations against artillery may become a critical variable on the outcome of this potential conflict. Russia has been recently conducting air intercepts.


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  1. […] Biden Emboldening U.S. Enemies: China Likely to Take Taiwan if Russia Takes Ukraine Analysis: A Potential Russia vs Ukraine Conflict May Boil Down to Who Has Better Artillery Likely a False Flag: Russia Accuses Ukraine of Provocation in Separatist-Held Regions Russia […]


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